Euro range will escape from
NAB says that the rate of the European debt market and the euro are currently in the growth stage of the pulse, which implies continued rally EUR / USD. The pair was likely at the bottom of the trading range of the future, not at the top of the previous one. Even if macroeconomic statistics across the United States will improve, the US dollar would prefer to strengthen against other currencies, the G10, rather than against the euro. The main reason NAB calls the growing likelihood of reports of European QE is minimized at the September meeting, the ECB and the existence of discussions within the Governing Council on this issue in July.
It is possible that in the third quarter of EUR / USD 1.05-1.15 range leaves the limits and reach $ 1.17. However, in October-December, the US dollar will be able to improve their business, and the euro to end the year at around $ 1.15. In 2018 the range will be wider: $ 1,12-1,27.
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